While gold is not an asset which supply can be inflated by a central
bank, the world’s gold stock increases all the time by roughly 1,5%
annually, so it is a relative but not an absolute protection against
inflation. Certainly not the way fertile land is.
Further more, my understanding is that the value of an asset is
ultimately based on how it serves you. A house houses you, farmland
feeds you, a company share entitles you to participate in that company’s
earnings (if they materialise), an automobile allows you to get around.
Gold serves to fill your bad tooth, be converted into nice jewelery,
plus some odd industrial uses, and that is, acording to wikipedia, where
60% of the gold production goes. And it remains to be seen if that
percentage does’t decrease with gold costing above US$1600.
So, 40% are bought by individuals and institutions that will not get
anything out of it, sticking to that narrower sense of an asset serving
in some way.
In comes the argument that it is a storage of value. And obviously as
a storage of value it is aquired by the latter 40%. Fair enough. But
that value is nothing but consensus, as is the case with paper money.
There is no underlying uncontestable value, like the uncontestable value
of your house being able to house you.
Surely, there are asset classes where it would be more stupid to be
invested in today, like bonds or bank deposits, but don’t underestimate
that gold is of no use in a stricter sense. And as is the case with all
useless things, you can not rent it out to somebody who wants to use it
and get some rent for it, as would by the case for a house, a car,
farmland or, last not least, money.
If you really look for intrinsic value, consider farmland, not that
you will be the first to do so, prices rose substantially everywhere,
but there is no other asset as limited and irreplaceable.
I earn my money selling that
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